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200 DMA of Nifty and Nifty-50 Stocks

by Rajesh Narayanan on February 1, 2012 · 0 Comments

200 DMA or the 200 Day (Simple) Moving Average, is an important indicator in technical analysis. The 200 DMA is a long term moving average that helps determine overall strength of an index or a stock. The 200 DMA is generally used as a trend following indicator, which do not predicts market direction, but rather gives an idea about the current direction. Moving average is a lagging indicator, since it is based on past prices of an index or a particular stock.

An index that is trading below its 200 DMA is considered to be in a long term downtrend and when it is above, it is in an uptrend. Whenever the index or a stock trades near these averages, they attract support in a bull market and finds resistance in a bear market. Currently, the 200 DMA of Nifty is around 5200 and the index has closed around this level of 5200.

What does this indicate ? Is the market heading higher or is it going to correct after good run in the past few weeks? As said earlier during bearish phases, the 200 DMA find some resistance and attracts selling.We have seen many times in the past, nifty reacting down from the 200 DMA. But any strong close above this level would attract fresh buying and the prices may move higher. Hence, watch out these levels and follow-up action closely, to make your trading decisions better. The following chart may of helpful, which shows the 200 DMA and the current market prices of the Nifty and Nifty-50 stocks. Also you would find the data for leading indices like Bank Nifty , CNX IT and CNX Midcap as well.

masterandstudent-nifty

If fact, the 200-day moving average may act as support or resistance simply because it is so widely used. It is almost like a self-fulfilling prophecy. The advantage of using moving averages is they are trend following and these indicators are always lagging, This lag factor not necessarily be construed as a disadvantage, but can be used viewed as a supportive factor to identify that whether a trader is line with the current trend or not.

For a trader, trend is your friend, isn't it?

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Can you beat the Market ?

by Rajesh Narayanan on January 26, 2012 · 2 Comments

master and student market
The question on every investor's mind is - Can you beat the market? Believe it or not, there's a simple method for getting the market-returns, if not beating the market. And that is so simple many investors would rather not use it because it takes the fun and flavor out of the game. It requires not much of a work, no thinking, and no decisions, and it can be summarized in a single sentence.

What's the catch? After all, most Wall Street investment managers, roughly 70 percent, tend to trail the overall market average over the long term, despite spending a lot of time researching companies, reading extensive reports, tracking the moves of the Dow Jones Index and huge churning of the portfolio. So how does a small investor got any chance of outperforming most of the experts?

Here's how you do it: Buy an index mutual fund and set up a checking account deduction plan that automatically buys additional shares(units) of the index mutual fund each month.Then sit back and watch your money grow. It's that simple !

Termed dollar cost averaging or systematic investment plan, the system relies on the volatility of the market to ensure that the investor automatically buys more units when markets are down and fewer units when markets are up.

And the real kicker is, you can do it automatically through a checking deduction plan, so the process continues to work without any physical, mental, or emotional involvement from you.

The question you may have is, if it's that simple and that reliable, why doesn't everyone do it? Why waste your time reading earnings reports, tracking price/earnings ratios, following the market, and agonizing over when to buy and when to sell, if you can use index fund dollar cost averaging with no effort?

Why? Boring!

Investors play the market because they enjoy it. Trying to beat the market can be fun and exciting. You pit your wits against the market experts, playing your hunches, making some buys and sells, in the process leads you to lots of excitement. But on the other hand, the above mentioned passive investing  provides you no such fun, but you are left with peace of mind and good amount of market-returns. The choice is with the investor !

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