Skip to main content

Sensex Target 54,000 - BoA Merrill Lynch

Sensex target 54,000!

Brokerage house Bank of America Merrill Lynch is bullish on India with an index target of 54,000 by end-2018 and believe that Investors must await dip in the market. It feels India is vulnerable to a near term global correction as too many global fund managers own shares in this market. “One of our near term concerns has been that investors are very overweight India; this makes India vulnerable to any near term global correction,” says the Merrill Lynch note, adding that a macro recovery appears to be some way off. “While we are structural bulls on India with an index target of 54,000 by end-2018, we have been highlighting that we see the market being range-bound to negative over next few months,” the note further says.

sensex-target


Global Emerging Markets (GEM) funds are nearly 420 bps overweight India BoFA’s view is that this makes India vulnerable to any near term global correction. India remains the most owned market in GEM by a wide margin.

“Investors, post their company meetings, seem to agree with our view that valuations were probably pricing in too much of good news. While we think the market will remain expensive through the year, we think it will consolidate for the next 3-6 months,” the note says. Merrill Lynch is bullish on auto, banks, cement and oil. It expects pharma shares to do well near term as the market consolidates.

There always risk associated with investing directly in stock markets and there are many ways to participate in this bull run. And one such way is investing through mutual funds, whether it is lumpsum amount during heavy corrections or SIP. We have already seen in this post that the best way to invest in the markets is through Systematic Investment Plan , without worrying too much about where the markets go in short-term.

Be a wise investor!


Popular posts from this blog

Historical Sensex Returns Updated - 2024

Historically Sensex has given returns of about 15% per year, despite volatility and price fluctuations of about -20% to +60%. The following table shows S&P BSE Sensex historical data - start  & close values and the yearly returns of the sensex from 2000 to 2024. So far during the year the   index has hit an all-time high of  75,124   and despite markets hitting all time highs not all stocks make all-time highs. There are many stocks still below their highs. Stocks like HDFC Bank, ITC, Asian paints are still well below their highs and some of them have given low returns over last 3-5 years. Individual or Retail investors can achieve consistent returns through investing via mutual funds , whether it be active or passive. Chasing returns from individual stocks is futile. Be a wise investor !

Mutual Fund AUM Surge 35%

 Mutual fund assets surge 35% in fiscal 2024 to a new high. According to recent report from AMFI, fiscal 2024 turned out to be one of the best years for the domestic mutual funds industry as assets under management (AUM) spurted by nearly Rs 14 lakh crore to a record Rs 53.40 lakh crore as of March 2024 compared with Rs 39.42 lakh crore as of March 2023. Women comprised ~23% of the investors based on their share of the AUM and men ~77%, while individual investors comprised ~60% as against institutional investors ~40%. Equity-oriented fund categories gain on inflows and mark-to-market (MTM) gains. As Nifty 50 gained 33%, most of the AUM increase are from MTM gains. Passive funds growth was muted around 27% as compared to Active funds. Another key take away is investors' adoption of systematic investment plans (SIPs).   SIP continues to rise with monthly net inflows at Rs 19,300 crore in March 2024. For fiscal year 2024, the net inflows through SIPs stood at nearly Rs 2 lakh cro...