Skip to main content

Markets next week - will it be up or down?

As per last week review, Nifty recorded an intra-week low of 2701, before pulling up to close the week higher.The index moved in a narrow band between 2700 and 2850 for most of the week. Moving onto next week, major results from index heavy weights like Reliance, Wipro and Reliance Capital are due to be announced, which could be a major factor the trend decider.

Now for next week:

The short-term trend in the index is down, there could be some sideways movement before the downtrend resumes taking the index lower to 2700/2500.Resistances for the week would be at 2860/2900. Failure to move past the first resistance would indicate the downtrend to resume.Strong medium-term support around 2500 should act as a good support in sharp declines.

Stock levels for index heavy weights:

Reliance Industries - RIL rallied higher from the intra-week low of at Rs 1,067 to close the week with a 6 per cent gain. The short-term trend in the stock is down, major support being at 1050 and resistance at Rs 1,274. A downward reversal from this level will pull the stock to Rs 1,067/ Rs 1,000.

State Bank of India - SBI declined below the key near-term support at Rs 1,140 on Monday, but remained range bound.Near-term view for this stock is bearish. The stock will face resistance at Rs 1,220 in the week ahead. A movement in the band between Rs 1,140 and Rs 1,220 is likely for a few sessions before the stock declines to Rs 1000 / Rs 940.

Infosys announced its quarterly earnings, the stock surpassed the resistance at Rs 1,200 to move higher at Rs 1,307. High volume recorded on this counter during last week’s up-move denotes that buyers are interested in adding to their holdings at lower levels.The stock faces strong near-term resistance around Rs 1,320.Reversal from this level can drag Infosys down to Rs 1,100 again.

Popular posts from this blog

Historical Sensex Returns Updated - 2024

Historically Sensex has given returns of about 15% per year, despite volatility and price fluctuations of about -20% to +60%. The following table shows S&P BSE Sensex historical data - start  & close values and the yearly returns of the sensex from 2000 to 2024. So far during the year the   index has hit an all-time high of  75,124   and despite markets hitting all time highs not all stocks make all-time highs. There are many stocks still below their highs. Stocks like HDFC Bank, ITC, Asian paints are still well below their highs and some of them have given low returns over last 3-5 years. Individual or Retail investors can achieve consistent returns through investing via mutual funds , whether it be active or passive. Chasing returns from individual stocks is futile. Be a wise investor !

Mutual Fund AUM Surge 35%

 Mutual fund assets surge 35% in fiscal 2024 to a new high. According to recent report from AMFI, fiscal 2024 turned out to be one of the best years for the domestic mutual funds industry as assets under management (AUM) spurted by nearly Rs 14 lakh crore to a record Rs 53.40 lakh crore as of March 2024 compared with Rs 39.42 lakh crore as of March 2023. Women comprised ~23% of the investors based on their share of the AUM and men ~77%, while individual investors comprised ~60% as against institutional investors ~40%. Equity-oriented fund categories gain on inflows and mark-to-market (MTM) gains. As Nifty 50 gained 33%, most of the AUM increase are from MTM gains. Passive funds growth was muted around 27% as compared to Active funds. Another key take away is investors' adoption of systematic investment plans (SIPs).   SIP continues to rise with monthly net inflows at Rs 19,300 crore in March 2024. For fiscal year 2024, the net inflows through SIPs stood at nearly Rs 2 lakh cro...