Skip to main content

Stock Market Cycle

Listed below are some observations in stock market forums:

Mid of bull market
Some will look for opportunities to short. Some will shout to buy.

Near to peak of bull market
More will shout to buy, and set higher target price even if the price is already very high.

End of bull market / Beginning of bear market
More will continue to shout to buy when the price drops a bit. Some have already took profit, and stay out of market.

Mid of bear market
Some will look for opportunities to bargain hunt. Some will shout to short.

Near to bottom of bear market
More will shout to short, and set lower target price even if the price is already very low.

End of bear market / Beginning of bull market
Some will continue to shout to short when the price rises a bit. More would have already panicked, and stay out of market.

Where are we now ?

Popular posts from this blog

Historical Sensex Returns Updated - 2024

Historically Sensex has given returns of about 15% per year, despite volatility and price fluctuations of about -20% to +60%. The following table shows S&P BSE Sensex historical data - start  & close values and the yearly returns of the sensex from 2000 to 2024. So far during the year the   index has hit an all-time high of  75,124   and despite markets hitting all time highs not all stocks make all-time highs. There are many stocks still below their highs. Stocks like HDFC Bank, ITC, Asian paints are still well below their highs and some of them have given low returns over last 3-5 years. Individual or Retail investors can achieve consistent returns through investing via mutual funds , whether it be active or passive. Chasing returns from individual stocks is futile. Be a wise investor !

Mutual Fund AUM Surge 35%

 Mutual fund assets surge 35% in fiscal 2024 to a new high. According to recent report from AMFI, fiscal 2024 turned out to be one of the best years for the domestic mutual funds industry as assets under management (AUM) spurted by nearly Rs 14 lakh crore to a record Rs 53.40 lakh crore as of March 2024 compared with Rs 39.42 lakh crore as of March 2023. Women comprised ~23% of the investors based on their share of the AUM and men ~77%, while individual investors comprised ~60% as against institutional investors ~40%. Equity-oriented fund categories gain on inflows and mark-to-market (MTM) gains. As Nifty 50 gained 33%, most of the AUM increase are from MTM gains. Passive funds growth was muted around 27% as compared to Active funds. Another key take away is investors' adoption of systematic investment plans (SIPs).   SIP continues to rise with monthly net inflows at Rs 19,300 crore in March 2024. For fiscal year 2024, the net inflows through SIPs stood at nearly Rs 2 lakh cro...